Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.360526 3.564165 3.780426 4.028352 4.306190 4.609700 4.968749
2024-10-20 3.009694 3.271563 3.562310 3.912516 4.327730 4.810744 5.425136
2024-10-27 2.723367 3.014480 3.348657 3.766951 4.286065 4.923052 5.787833
2024-11-03 2.604854 2.937541 3.332977 3.848912 4.522826 5.403212 6.699315
2024-11-10 2.525139 2.898454 3.357332 3.981318 4.840850 6.043263 7.989655
2024-11-17 2.371338 2.755055 3.237829 3.913967 4.882662 6.311590 8.813980
2024-11-24 2.226428 2.612271 3.107092 3.817473 4.870336 6.499082 9.573135
2024-12-01 2.112456 2.501649 3.009929 3.757371 4.903196 6.764988 10.579509
2024-12-08 2.017773 2.410186 2.931475 3.715802 4.958534 7.081036 11.834270
2024-12-15 1.965665 2.372001 2.922881 3.775191 5.182706 7.748806 14.269280
2024-12-22 1.857749 2.251791 2.790812 3.635254 5.056445 7.729004 14.972198
2024-12-29 1.808506 2.209678 2.767388 3.661281 5.219816 8.331191 17.973556
2025-01-05 1.721040 2.117441 2.676360 3.590567 5.236756 8.715803 21.141327
2025-01-12 1.637925 2.027229 2.582892 3.508126 5.223152 9.046270 24.884367
2025-01-19 1.554609 1.932749 2.477488 3.396989 5.140343 9.197866 28.409552
2025-01-26 1.523417 1.911720 2.482049 3.473157 5.447633 10.524357 45.460553
2025-02-02 1.502861 1.904891 2.507912 3.590209 5.873173 12.524792 105.408763
2025-02-09 1.448127 1.844305 2.444587 3.539149 5.915770 13.327839 213.073313
2025-02-16 1.392413 1.779693 2.370964 3.462122 5.884984 13.869504 600.247568
2025-02-23 1.346611 1.728087 2.315515 3.414550 5.919242 14.746202 NaN
2025-03-02 1.306934 1.684075 2.269966 3.381832 5.986531 15.879845 NaN
2025-03-09 1.285442 1.666969 2.267872 3.434182 6.291493 18.669800 NaN
2025-03-16 1.235663 1.603913 2.185081 3.316868 6.108485 18.460549 NaN